New Mexico

Last night, the 2026 ACA Open Enrollment Period (OEP) concluded across most states, including New Mexico (there are 10 other states with later deadlines).

BeWell NM, New Mexico's ACA exchange, is among the only ACA exchanges with ongoing daily enrollment data reports, last updated early this morning. Here's how they wrapped things up compared to the 2025 OEP (barring any clerical corrections in this year's data):

Overall enrollment in the Land of Enchantment is up a whopping 17%!

While this may sound surprising at first, it should be once you know that New Mexico is the only state which is FULLY BACKFILLING 100% of the lost federal tax credits for ALL enrollees.

BeWell NM, New Mexico's ACA exchange, is the only state marketplace with ongoing daily enrollment data reports:

New Mexico Open Enrollment 2026 - Enrollment Summary

Last Refreshed On: December 31st, 2025

  • Active Re-enrollees: 17,287
  • New Enrollees: 8,443
  • Auto-Re-enrollees: 53,042
  • Total: 78,772

By comparison, at the same point last year, BeWell NM reported:

  • Active Re-enrollees: 19,216
  • New Enrollees: 6,644
  • Auto-Re-enrollees: 39,826
  • Total: 65,686

In other words, new enrollments are up 27% while active renewals are down about 10%; they pretty much cancel each other out compared to the same point last year.

Back in October, I noted that the New Mexico Insurance Superintendent--in the midst of dropping some very bad news about the upcoming 36% average premium increases for New Mexico ACA policies--included an extremely important caveat:

While it appears that Congress will allow enhanced federal Premium Tax Credits to expire, New Mexico’s Health Care Affordability Fund (HCAF) will cover the loss of the enhanced premium tax credits for households with income under 400% of the Federal Poverty Level (or $128,600 for a family of four), providing up to $68 million in premium relief for working families who enroll in coverage through BeWell in 2026. Federal and state premium assistance will continue to reduce the impact of the rate increases.

BeWell NM, New Mexico's ACA exchange, is the only state marketplace with ongoing daily enrollment data reports:

New Mexico Open Enrollment 2026 - Enrollment Summary

Last Refreshed On: December 2, 2025

Officially, they're reporting 75,926 Qualified Health Plan (QHP) enrollments already, which is actually 8% higher than the 70,373 which they ended with during the 2025 Open Enrollment Period (OEP) last January.

HOWEVER...and this is a major caveat...that 75,926 includes all current enrollees being auto-renewed for 2026, which doesn't really count for my purposes. Most state exchanges used to hold off on lumping in the auto-renewals until after the initial December deadline, only reporting current enrollees who actively re-enroll along with new enrollees.

When I look at it that way, I get:

BeWell NM, New Mexico's ACA exchange, is the first out of the gate to report hard enrollment data for 2026:

New Mexico Open Enrollment 2026 - Enrollment Summary

Last Refreshed On: November 12th 2025

Officially, they're reporting 70,485 Qualified Health Plan (QHP) enrollments already, which is actually slightly higher than the 70,373 which they ended with during the 2025 Open Enrollment Period (OEP) last January.

HOWEVER...and this is a major caveat...that 70,485 includes all current enrollees being auto-renewed for 2026, which doesn't really count for my purposes. Most state exchanges used to hold off on lumping in the auto-renewals until after the initial December deadline, only reporting current enrollees who actively re-enroll along with new enrollees.

When I look at it that way, I get:

IMPORTANT: Premium Alignment is NOT a substitute for making the enhanced ACA tax credits permanent. It does little to help the lowest-income folks who are still better off with Silver plans thanks to robust CSR assistance, and the benefits of it will be mediocre for those over 400% FPL if the enhanced tax credits expire.

Even for those it benefits the most (primarily those who earn between 200 - 400% FPL),  it's a complement to the upgraded subsidies, not a replacement for them.

HOWEVER, it's still hugely helpful to those who know how to take advantage of it, and particularly in the states newly implementing it, it should relieve a huge portion of the pain being caused by the enhanced APTC expiring next month.

I've written multiple times in the past about "Silver Loading," the ACA health insurance policy pricing strategy in which insurance carriers load the extra cost of their Cost Sharing Reduction financial burden (the portion of deductibles, co-pays & coinsurance which they're required to cover themselves for low-income enrollees who select Silver plans) onto the gross premium of those same Silver plans.

It gets a bit wonky, but the bottom line is that Silver Loading results in the gross price of Silver ACA plans increasing significantly even if the price of Bronze, Gold & Platinum plans only go up modestly. This may sound bad, but stay with me.

From the carriers perspective, how the CSR load is allocated doesn't matter much as long as they aren't left stuck with the bill...but pricing the plans in this fashion has major implications for the enrollees themselves.

Last week I noted that six states have launched window shopping for the 2026 ACA Open Enrollment Period (OEP), allowing residents of the following states to plug their household information into their states ACA exchange website to see just how much their net health insurance premiums are going to increase starting January 1st, 2026:

Today another seven states joined them by activating 2026 window shopping as well:

As anyone not under a rock for the past few months knows by now, the improved federal Affordable Care Act tax credits which were put into place by President Biden and Congressional Democrats starting in 2021 are currently scheduled to expire at the end of December, just 2 1/2 months from now.

If this happens, the consequences for ~24 million Americans will be devastating, with average health insurance premiums more than doubling and millions being priced completely out of the insurance market altogether.

On top of this, the Trump Regime has also made administrative regulatory changes to how the ACA is structured resulting in the remaining tax credit formula becoming even less generous yet, while also eliminating eligibility for either financial assistance or even ACA enrollment whatsoever to many other Americans.

Originally posted 1/01/25

8/31/25: SEE IMPORTANT UPDATE BELOW!

10/08/25: SEE 2ND IMPORTANT UPDATE BELOW!

New Mexico has around ~70,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 85% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~8,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's 78,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 70,000 statewide.

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