California

Every year, even when the ACA is running smoothly, there are always changes in market participation, as different insurance carriers enter or exit the individual market in certain states or either expand or shrink what parts of the state they offer healthcare policies in.

2026 is no exception, and given the massive turmoil the ACA exchanges are undergoing right now (due primarily to the expiring federal tax credits as well as regulatory changes made by the Trump Regime's so-called "Integrity & Affordability Rule"), there's either 13 or 32 insurance carriers throwing in the towel in one or more states, depending on how you count a carrier operating in multiple states or under multiple subsidiary brandings.

It's important to keep in mind that the following list probably isn't comprehensive--it includes the carriers which I've confirmed are pulling out statewide (with one exception: Meridian Health Plan of Michigan is only pulling out of parts of the state). There's likely one or two that I've missed, especially given that several of these have only made their final decisions within the past week or so.

Last week I noted that six states have launched window shopping for the 2026 ACA Open Enrollment Period (OEP), allowing residents of the following states to plug their household information into their states ACA exchange website to see just how much their net health insurance premiums are going to increase starting January 1st, 2026:

Today another seven states joined them by activating 2026 window shopping as well:

Originally posted 1/21/25

California has ~1.98 MILLION residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, over 88% of whom are currently subsidized. They also have an estimated ~470,000 off-exchange enrollees. Combined, that's over 2.4 million people, or 6.2% of their total population.

As anyone not under a rock for the past few months knows by now, the improved federal Affordable Care Act tax credits which were put into place by President Biden and Congressional Democrats starting in 2021 are currently scheduled to expire at the end of December, just 2 1/2 months from now.

If this happens, the consequences for ~24 million Americans will be devastating, with average health insurance premiums more than doubling and millions being priced completely out of the insurance market altogether.

On top of this, the Trump Regime has also made administrative regulatory changes to how the ACA is structured resulting in the remaining tax credit formula becoming even less generous yet, while also eliminating eligibility for either financial assistance or even ACA enrollment whatsoever to many other Americans.

Originally posted 8/12/25

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, California Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Aetna/CVS

(Aetna/CVS is pulling out of the entire individual market nationally)

Anthem Blue Cross of CA (DMHC)

This is a rate filing for the Individual market ACA‐compliant plans offered by Anthem Blue Cross (Anthem). The proposed rates in this filing will be effective for the 2026 plan year beginning January 1, 2026, and apply to plans both On‐Exchange and Off‐Exchange.

Anthem will continue to participate in its 2025 marketplace footprint consisting of rating areas 1-10 and 12-14 with EPO plans and rating areas 11 and 15‐19 with HMO plans.

via Covered California:

La versión en español de este Comunicado puede ser descargada en este enlace. 

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Covered California issued the following statement concerning the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) announcement of official immunization recommendations, following the passage of Assembly Bill 144:

“We applaud Gov. Newsom, the California Legislature and the Department of Public Health for recommending immunizations that are backed by scientific research and supported by trusted medical organizations,” said Covered California Executive Director Jessica Altman. “The evidence overwhelmingly shows that vaccines work, and with these steps Californians – and all Covered California enrollees – will continue to have access to these critical health tools.”

Well this is a welcome bit of good news. While ACA major medical health insurance policy premiums are set to skyrocket in 2026 (largely due to Congressional Republicans allowing the improved premium subsidies to expire while the Trump Administration changes the underlying tax credit formula to make it significantly less generous), Covered California just announced that 2026 premiums for their standalone dental plans are set to cost pretty much the same next year:

Covered California Announces Premium Change for 2026 Dental Plans After Another Year of Steady Growth

La versión en español de este Comunicado puede ser descargada en este enlace.

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Covered California announced that the statewide weighted average rate change for dental plans offered through the marketplace in 2026 will be 0.35 percent.

This actually came out a couple of weeks ago but ironically, I've been too swamped analyzing & posting 2026 rate filings for other states to get around to posting it here until now.

Covered California has officially confirmed the preliminary 2026 ACA individual market rate hikes, and the weighted average (10.3% statewide) is nearly identical to what I had it at  a few days prior to their press release (10.2%).

Via CoveredCA:

August 14, 2025

Covered California Rates and Plans for 2026: Consumer Affordability on the Line with Uncertainty Surrounding Federal Premium Tax Credit Extension

La versión en español de este Comunicado puede ser descargada en este enlace.

via Covered California:

La versión en español de este Comunicado puede ser descargada en este enlace.

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Due to recent rule changes made by the federal government, Covered California enrollees who are part of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program will have their Affordable Care Act health insurance terminated on Aug. 31, 2025. The federal rule will affect more than 2,300 DACA recipients in California.

Originally posted 3/19/25

Over the past couple of months I've compiled a master spreadsheet breaking out enrollment in ACA plans (Qualified Health Plans & Basic Health Plans), Medicaid/CHIP coverage (both traditional & via ACA expansion) and Medicare (both Fee-for-Services & Advantage) at the Congressional District levels.

With the pending dire threat to several of these programs (primarily Medicaid & the ACA) from the House Republican Budget Proposal which recently passed, I'm going a step further and am generating pie charts which visualize just how much of every Congressional District's total population is at risk of losing healthcare coverage.

USE THE DROP-DOWN MENU ABOVE TO FIND YOUR STATE & DISTRICT.

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