Medicaid

I recently posted Congressional District-level breakouts of total enrollment in ACA Exchange Plans & Basic Health Plans as well as Medicare (both Fee For Service and Advantage plans). The master spreadsheet also includes enrollment in Medicaid (both ACA Expansion as well as non-Expansion) and the Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

However, for no particular reason, I included the methodology for Medicaid & CHIP data in with the ACA enrollment post, since it ACA Expansion Medicaid overlaps with that.

Via Marisa Kabas of The Handbasket (later confirmed by various other news agencies):

Early Monday evening I received a copy of a memo that will impact thousands of institutions supported by funding from the federal government. 

A copy of the memo from the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) was provided to The Handbasket at approximately 5pm ET by a source whose anonymity is being protected for fear of professional retribution. The memo was sent to the heads of executive departments and agencies with the subject, “Temporary Pause of Agency Grant, Loan, and Other Financial Assistance Programs.” I shared the news on Bluesky at 6:04pm ET, and my reporting was confirmed by the Washington Post a few hours later.

It is a truly unhinged document that sounds like it was written by the world’s most petty 4Chan poster—but then again, that’s who’s currently running our federal government. Here’s the first paragraph to get a feel for it (emphasis mine):

Earlier today I posted a colorful graph which broke out ACA exchange enrollment by state from January 2014 - January 2025.

Below I'm posting a similar breakout of total ACA Medicaid Expansion enrollment from January 2014 - June 2024, via the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services quarterly Medicaid Budget & Expenditure System reports (warning: That link could be broken or blank by the time you read this under the Trump Administration).

Unfortunately, the MBES reports currently only run through June of last year, so the last half of the year is missing.

No further analysis or comment here; I just think this is a pretty cool graphic...and keep in mind that most of the people represented here would have been utterly screwed from early 2020 - early 2023 without the Affordable Care Act being in place when the pandemic hit.

Click the image for a higher-resolution version. I'm not bothering to include the state labels since some would be too difficult to make out, but it starts with Alaska at the bottom and works its way up to West Virginia at the top (remember, neither Alabama nor Wisconsin or Wyoming have expanded Medicaid under the ACA). It also includes Guam, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

via Meredith Lee Hill of Politico:

Vulnerable House Republicans warn leaders against cutting Obamacare

The group of centrists also said the party needed to be careful about deep cuts to social safety net programs.

House Republicans in competitive districts warned GOP leaders Thursday: We could lose our seats if you gut Obamacare to pay for a massive border, energy and tax bill.

A group of about a dozen centrist Republicans...worry GOP efforts to pare back the Affordable Care Act could pour fuel on the fire.

...Instead, they argued, Republicans needed to embrace the GOP’s role as the working class party. Leaders would counter that message by slashing programs working Americans rely on, they said. GOP lawmakers in the room included Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (Pa.), Young Kim (Calif.), David Valadao (Calif.), Andrew Garbarino (N.Y.), Tom Barrett (Mich.) and Don Bacon (Neb.).

On his first day in office, Donald Trump issued dozens of Executive Orders. Some of these are mostly symbolic; some won't have any effect without legislative action; some are blatantly unconstitutional & are already being challenged in court. Many, however, are terrifying and will have horrific consequences for thousands or potentially millions of Americans and non-Americans alike.

I already noted that one such order would withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization, which we curently provide 20% of the funding for.

Along with issuing his own new ones, Trump has also already rescinded over 60 XOs issued by President Biden. In this post I'm going to focus on three of them which pertain specifically to healthcare policy.

Again, all three of the following have now been RESCINDED BY DONALD TRUMP:

Many voices including mine have been warning of this for months, so it shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone, but here it is regardless: Last week Politico got ahold of a "menu" of draconian cuts to a wide variety of federal programs, mostly regarding healthcare policy, which House Republicans plan on implementing with their new trifecta:

The early list of potential spending offsets obtained by POLITICO includes changes to Medicare and ending Biden administration climate programs, along with slashing welfare and “reimagining” the Affordable Care Act.

The biggest program on the hit list, however, is Medicaid, which would make up nearly half of the $5 TRILLION in budget cuts Republicans have in mind in order to pay for...massive tax cuts for corporations & the wealthy, of course.

via the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS):

October 2024 Key Findings

Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

  • In October 2024, 79.3 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid and CHIP.
    • 72.1 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid, and 7.2 million individuals were enrolled in CHIP.
    • 41.7 million adults were enrolled in Medicaid, and there were 37.6 million Medicaid child and CHIP enrollees.

Medicaid and CHIP Applications Received

  • In October 2024, Medicaid, CHIP, Human Services agencies, and State-based Marketplaces received 2.6 million applications, or 2 percent more applications, as compared to September 2024.
  • The number of applications received has increased by 20 percent since October 2023 and increased by 66 percent since October 2022.

Total Medicaid/CHIP enrollment in October 2024 still dropped very slightly from September...by just 55,000 people.

via the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS):

September 2024 Key Findings

Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

  • In September 2024, 79.4 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid and CHIP.
    • 72.2 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid, and 7.2 million individuals were enrolled in CHIP.
    • 41.7 million adults were enrolled in Medicaid, and there were 37.6 million Medicaid child and CHIP enrollees.

Medicaid and CHIP Applications Received

via the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS):

Under the Inflation Reduction Act, some people with Medicare will pay less for some Part B drugs because the drug’s price increased faster than the rate of inflation.

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), through the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), today announced that some Medicare enrollees will pay less for 64 drugs available through Medicare Part B. The drugs will have a lowered Part B coinsurance rate from January 1, 2025 – March 31, 2025, since drug companies raised prices for each of these 64 drugs faster than the rate of inflation. Over 853,000 people with Medicare use these drugs annually to treat conditions such as cancer, osteoporosis, and substance use disorder. Since April 1, 2023, people with Medicare have seen savings on over 120 drugs thanks to Inflation Reduction Act’s Medicare Prescription Drug Inflation Rebate Program.

via the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS):

August 2024 Key Findings

Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

  • In August 2024, 79.4 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid and CHIP.
    • 72.3 million individuals were enrolled in Medicaid, and 7.2 million individuals were enrolled in CHIP.
    • 41.8 million adults were enrolled in Medicaid, and there were 37.6 million Medicaid child and CHIP enrollees.

Medicaid and CHIP Applications Received

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