Pennsylvania Democratic Representative Brendon Boyle, on MSNBC last night:

Rep. Boyle: The one thing I would point out, though, is this bill is actually significantly worse [than the GOP's ACA repeal attempt in 2017], because this piece of legislation will throw 13.5 million, almost 14 million Americans off their healthcare.

First, you're cutting people off Medicaid. But second, this does include very deep cuts to Obamacare as well. And finally, I have breaking news for you tonight, that literally just came out in the last few minutes as I've been sitting here: The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the official authority on these figures, has now confirmed that this bill, in addition to Medicaid cuts, in addition to Obamacare cuts, includes $500 BILLION WORTH OF CUTS TO MEDICARE that is now in this bill as well.

via the Maine Dept. of Health & Human Services:

With potential Federal cuts to Medicaid on the horizon, renewing enhanced premium tax credits to ensure affordable insurance through the marketplace takes on greater significance

AUGUSTA— The Maine Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) Office of the Health Insurance Marketplace (OHIM) today announced its support for renewing the enhanced premium tax credits for consumers of the health insurance marketplace. 

The enhanced premium tax credits, which were first implemented in 2021 through the American Rescue Act and extended in the Inflation Reduction Act are set to expire at the end of this year unless Congress acts. Allowing these federal tax credits to expire will result in higher health insurance premiums for Maine consumers, potentially putting health coverage out of reach for thousands of Mainers. Overall, the enhanced tax credits are saving Mainers a conservative estimate of nearly $90 million in health care premium savings this year.

via Covered California:

La versión en español de este Declaracion puede ser descargada en este enlace.

Covered California expresses deep concern regarding the proposed health provisions in the reconciliation bill moving through the House of Representatives.

If enacted, the legislation would have devastating consequences to the health, well-being and financial security of hundreds of thousands of Californians who would lose access to affordable health insurance. It would also lead to greater strain on the health care system and increased costs for individuals and businesses throughout the state.

via New York State of Health:

  • Estimated Nearly $13.5 Billion Loss Annually For New Yorkers and Our Healthcare Economy 
  • Nearly 1.5 Million New Yorkers Could Lose Essential Plan or Medicaid Coverage And Become Uninsured 
  • Governor Hochul Demands Republican Members of Congress Oppose These Cuts and Protect Their Constituents 

Governor Kathy Hochul today updated New Yorkers on the harmful effects of several healthcare provisions already passed from the House Ways & Means and Energy & Commerce committees for the Republican budget reconciliation bill. These provisions collectively amount to an annual loss of nearly $13.5 billion for New Yorkers and our healthcare sector, jeopardizing healthcare access for millions of New Yorkers while imperiling the state’s hospitals and other healthcare providers. 

So, the Congressional Budget Office has published updated estimates of the budgetary impact of the House Republican budget plan (officially called the "One Big Beautiful BIll Act" (seriously); more appropriately called the #MedicaidMassacre bill by certain individuals (ahem) were to pass & be implemented.

In addition to all the dollar amounts tossed around, however, the spreadsheet also includes some important footnotes, including the following (h/t Larry Levitt of KFF for the heads up):

Under the Title IV - Energy & Commerce tab is this:

With the House Republican budget bill having made it past its second significant hurdle last night (the House Budget Committee vote), it's time tot ake a cold, hard look at just what the impact of the bill will be in pure partisan terms.

The logic Congressional Republicans (or at least Donald Trump, who pretty much has complete control over the Congressional Republican hivemind) seem to be going with is that targeting the Medicaid expansion population is good politics for them because:

UPDATED 5/22/25: Welp. House Republicans did indeed follow through with passing their horrific (and disgustingly-titled) "One Big Beautiful Bill" Act which will effectively repeal the bulk of the ACA without officially repealing it, and that's just for starters.

The final vote was 215 - 214, with every Republican except a handful voting for it (and the two who voted against it openly admitted to the NY Times that they would have voted for it if their votes had been needed), and every Democrat voting against it. There were 2 Republican "no" votes...but both of those were only because they wanted the final bill to be even more draconian.

The Congressional Budget Office projected the bill, if enacted, will result in at least 13.7 million more Americans losing healthcare coverage (and that was based on a prior version of the bill; the new version is considered even more extreme).

Every year, I spend months painstakingly tracking every insurance carrier rate filing (nealry 400 for 2025!) for the following year to determine just how much average insurance policy premiums on the individual market are projected to increase or decrease.

Carriers tendency to jump in and out of the market, repeatedly revise their requests, and the confusing blizzard of actual filing forms sometimes make it next to impossible to find the specific data I need.

I really only need three pieces of information for each carrier:

via Vermont's Green Mountain Care Board:

May 13, 2025

Green Mountain Care Board Receives 2026 QHP Rate Requests Amid Rising Health Care Costs

Montpelier, VT – On May 12, 2025, the Green Mountain Care Board (GMCB) received the 2026 individual and small group health insurance premium rate filings from BlueCross and BlueShield of Vermont and MVP Health Plan. The filings will be posted on GMCB’s rate review website. The average rate increases being requested are shown below:

Last week I wrote about the latest state of play regarding House Republicans so-called "big beautiful bill" to gut Medicaid in order to give fat tax cuts to billionaires. Yesterday the first official version of the legislative text was released, and it's pretty much as ugly as you might expect.

Here's some basics, via Nathaniel Weixel & Joseph Choi of The Hill:

...The plan caters more to the moderate wing of the Republican party by omitting two of the biggest and most politically controversial proposals discussed: a per-capita cap on people who get coverage from Medicaid expansion, and a direct lowering of the federal matching rate.

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