2026 Rate Changes

Originally posted 8/8/25

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Alabama Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Blue Cross Blue Shield of AL

The average rate increase included in this filing is 19.3%, affecting over 210,000 members.

The main factors driving the need for this increase are:

  • Alabama market membership loss and remaining members projected to be less healthy following expiration of enhanced premium subsidies in place since 2021
  • Projected claim cost trends are higher for 2025 than anticipated in the 2025 filing and are projected to continue into 2026
  • Administrative costs increased in 2025 and are expected to rise further in 2026 due to new eligibility and billing rules, along with a higher Exchange User Fee

...Expiring Enhanced Advance Premium Tax Credits

Originally posted 6/06/25

Tennessee ACA exchange carriers were instructed to provide two sets of rate filings for 2026: One which assumes CSR reimbursement payments won't be reinstated, one which assumes they are reinstated. In addition, both sets of filings assume that IRA subsidies won't be extended; all but one carrier clarified how much extending the IRA subsidies would impact 2026 premium changes.

Alliant Health Plans: Alliant is requesting a nominal 0.3% increase next year if CSR payments aren't reinstated and a 1.0% drop if they are. In both cases, premiums would be 2.8% lower if IRA subsidies were to be extended by Congress:

Originally posted 7/21/25; See important updates below.

It's a little awkward to try & pull quotes from Georgia's actuarial memos because they're heavily redacted (see attachments below), but fortunately I also have access to other "just the facts" filing documents which include the hard data I need to compile my weighted averages. These forms--officially called "Rate Filing Transmittal Form LH-T1" and "Unified Rate Review" forms--include, among lots of other numbers, the preliminary avg. rate change being requested for the carrier's individual (or small group) market plans, as well as the number of current effectuated enrollees they have.

In addition, I have alternate rate filings for Georgia individual market carriers which specifically state what their requested rate changes would be if the enhanced premium tax credit subsidies provided by the American Rescue Plan Act & Inflation Reduction Act were to be extended for at least one more year, providing a clear apples to apples comparison.

Originally posted 8/04/25

via the Pennsylvania Insurance Dept:

Pennsylvanians can submit comments on rate requests and filings through September 2

Harrisburg, PA – The Pennsylvania Insurance Department (PID) today announced that the 2026 rate changes requested by insurance companies currently operating in Pennsylvania’s individual and small group markets are now available. On average, all Pennsylvania health insurers are requesting premium increases in plan year 2026: 19% increase to premiums in the individual market (for people who buy their own insurance), and a 13% increase to premiums in the small group market (for small businesses). 

Originally posted 8/08/25

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, New Hampshire Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Anthem Health Plans of NH (BCBS)

(Unfortunately, Anthem has redacted their current enrollment total; see below)

This is a rate filing for the Individual market ACA-compliant plans offered by Anthem Health Plans of New Hampshire, Inc., also referred to as Anthem. The policy forms associated with these plans are listed below. The proposed rates in this filing are for a new HMO product that will be effective for the 2026 plan year beginning January 1, 2026, and apply exclusively to off-exchange plans.

It was just a couple of weeks ago that the official (if preliminary) 2026 ACA individual market rate filings for Wyoming insurance carriers went live on the federal rate review website.

I published a writeup about these just 3 days ago; unlike some states, Wyoming was pretty easy to break out as they only have three carriers on the indy market, all of which also made their current enrollment data easy to find.

The landscape isn't pretty: BCBS is seeking average rate increases of 20.7%; UHC wants 29.1%, and Mountain Health Co-Op, which has around 9,600 enrollees, was asking for a whopping 32% average premium hike.

Keep in mind that Wyoming already has among the most expensive individual market policies in the country, with premiums averaging over $1,000/month.

8/15/25: See important update below re. total enrollment

Overall preliminary rate changes via the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Aetna Health inc:

(Aetna/CVS announced last spring that they're pulling out of the individual market in EVERY state in 2026.)

AmeriHealth Caritas Florida:

Amerihealth Caritas Florida, Inc. (AHC) has offered comprehensive and fully insured coverage to members in the individual ACA market since 2023. AHC is filing a rate increase for 2026 products. The plans associated with this filing will be offered both on and off the Federally Facilitated Marketplace (FFM) in Florida.

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Wyoming Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Blue Cross Blue Shield of WY

Blue Cross Blue Shield of Wyoming (BCBSWY) has offered comprehensive and fully insured coverage to members in the Individual ACA market since 2014. BCBSWY is filing a rate increase for 2026 products. All plans will be offered statewide; plans with be offered either on or off the Federally Facilitated Marketplace in Wyoming.

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Wisconsin Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Aspirus Arise Health Plan of WI

The average proposed rate increase of 12.6%, effective January 1, 2026 is expected to impact 13,677 members, based on membership as of March 31, 2025. The rate increase varies by plan, ranging between 4.4% and 20.5%. Rate changes vary by plan due to the impact of changes in benefits and rating adjustments to account for the non-funding of Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) payments.

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Alaska Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Moda Assurance Co:

(Moda has heavily redacted their actuarial memo and isn't providing the number of current enrollees)

The average rate change is X.XX% as shown on Worksheet 2 of the URRT. The proposed rate Proposed Rate Increase change varies by product and plan, and the proposed rates vary by plan, age, geographic area, and tobacco use. The average rate change was calculated by comparing the weighted average premium for members on current plans and rates to the weighted average premium for members on renewal plans and rates.

A summary of the major components and their contribution to the rate change is provided in the table below.

Components of the rate change / % Impact

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