Charles Gaba's blog

Originally posted 6/02/25

Hot off the presses via the New York Dept. of Financial Services:

MVP Health Plan, Inc.

Generally, once a year MVP files for a change to the current premium rates on file for their products based on a review of the adequacy of the rate level. Premiums need to be sufficient to cover all medical and pharmacy claims submitted from covered members, cover the administrative cost of operations, Federal and New York State taxes/assessments levied and New York State statutory reserve requirements.

MVP is proposing a premium rate adjustment effective January 1, 2026. Policyholders will be charged the proposed premium rates upon renewal in 2026 pending New York State’s Department of Financial Services review. There are 13,062 policyholders and 19,125 members currently enrolled in Individual MVP Health Plan, Inc. plans. The proposed premium rate adjustment represents an average increase of 8.00%. Premium changes will vary by plan design.

Premium rates are changing due to the following reasons:

Originally posted 8/05/25

via the Nevada Insurance Dept:

JULY 31st, 2025 - Nevadans Get a Preview of 2026 Proposed Health Insurance Rate Changes for Upcoming Open Enrollment

[CARSON CITY, NV] - Starting August 1st, Nevada consumers who shop for their health insurance on the individual health insurance market can view and provide comments on proposed rate changes for Plan Year 2026.

The Nevada Division of Insurance (Division) has received and made public on its website the 2026 proposed rate changes from health insurers intending to sell plans on and off the Silver State Health Insurance Exchange (the "Exchange"). The Exchange is the state agency that assists eligible Nevada residents to purchase affordable health and dental plans.

Originally posted 12/10/24

New York has around ~222,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 63% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~31,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~253,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 235,000 statewide.

Originally posted 12/08/24

Virginia has ~388,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 86% of whom are currently subsidized. They also have over 22,000 off-exchange enrollees. Combined, that's 411,000 people with ACA market coverage, or 4.6% of the total population.

Originally posted 1/25/25

South Dakota has around ~54,000 residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 94% of whom are currently subsidized. I estimate they also have another ~3,000 unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's ~58,000 people, although assuming the national average 6.6% net enrollment attrition rate applies, current enrollment would be back down to more like 54,000 statewide.

via Vermont's Green Mountain Care Board:

May 13, 2025

Green Mountain Care Board Receives 2026 QHP Rate Requests Amid Rising Health Care Costs

Montpelier, VT – On May 12, 2025, the Green Mountain Care Board (GMCB) received the 2026 individual and small group health insurance premium rate filings from BlueCross and BlueShield of Vermont and MVP Health Plan. The filings will be posted on GMCB’s rate review website. The average rate increases being requested are shown below:

Via the New Mexico Office of Superintendent of Insurance (OSI):

Santa Fe, NM – The New Mexico Office of the Superintendent of Insurance (OSI) has approved 2026 rates for individual market Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans sold on and off BeWell, the New Mexico Health Insurance Marketplace, with an average increase of 35.7%. Today, 75,000 New Mexicans buy health insurance through BeWell and 88% of enrollees qualify for federal and state premium assistance.

However, there's an important caveat:

While it appears that Congress will allow enhanced federal Premium Tax Credits to expire, New Mexico’s Health Care Affordability Fund (HCAF) will cover the loss of the enhanced premium tax credits for households with income under 400% of the Federal Poverty Level (or $128,600 for a family of four), providing up to $68 million in premium relief for working families who enroll in coverage through BeWell in 2026. Federal and state premium assistance will continue to reduce the impact of the rate increases.

Overall preliminary rate changes via SERFF database, South Dakota Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Avera Health Plans:

(Unfortunately, Avera hasn't provided a justification summary and has almost completely redacted their actuarial memo, making it impossible for me to know what their current enrollment is; see below)

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Montana Insurance Dept. website and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Blue Cross Blue Shield of Montana:

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Montana (BCBSMT) filed rates to be effective January 1, 2026, for its Individual ACA metallic coverage. As measured in the Unified Rate Review Template (URRT), the range of rate changes for these plans is an increase of 0.9% to an increase of 42.5%.

Product Blue Preferred Blue Focus Changes in allowable rating factors, such as age, geographical area, or tobacco use, may also impact the premium amount for the coverage.

There are currently 44,116 members on Individual Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans that may be affected by these proposed rates.

Consistent with the filed URRT, earned premiums for Individual plans during calendar year 2024 were $252,957,302 and total claims incurred were $235,192,937. The proposed rates effective January 1, 2026, are expected to achieve the loss ratio assumed in the rate development.

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, New Mexico Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Blue Cross Blue Shield NM

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of New Mexico (BCBSNM) is filing new rates to be effective January 1, 2026, for its Individual ACA metallic coverage. As measured in the Unified Rate Review Template (URRT), the range of rate changes for these plans is an increase of 18.4% to an increase of 49.6%.

The cost relativities among plans are different from the experience period to the prospective rating period due to anticipated non-uniform changes in network reimbursement levels. Additionally, the rates vary by plan due to the leveraging and utilization differences driven by variations in member cost sharing. Therefore, the proposed rates and rate changes may vary by plan.

Changes in allowable rating factors, such as age and geographical area, may also impact the premium amount for the coverage.

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