Courtesy of Alexander Bolton of The Hill:

Yup. That about sizes it up.

The DC exchange just issued a welcome-but-unexpected update; as usual, they do this weird thing where they're including the cumulative totals dating back to October 1, 2013, which is pretty much pointless (this would be like measuring how well Chrysler is doing in 2015 by counting every car they've sold since 1925).

Still, by simply measuring the difference between the numbers on different dates, it's easy enough to measure:

From October 1, 2013 to April 26, 2015, 106,364 people have enrolled in health insurance coverage through DC Health Link in private insurance or Medicaid:

 22,354 people enrolled in a private qualified health plan,
 67,761 people have been determined eligible for Medicaid, and
 16,249 people enrolled through the DC Health Link small business marketplace (includes Congressional enrollment)

Today's update:

In my latest exclusive over at healthinsurance.org, I break out the post-King v. Burwell carnage by the numbers. The short version?

  • Around 6.5 Million people losing an average of $272 per month in tax credits
  • Likely around 8.5 Million people losing their healthcare coverage entirely
  • Likely around 4.5 million people having to pay exorbitant rates in order to hold onto their policies
  • A potential additional "bonus" bit of nastiness for millions of people which I'm praying wouldn't come to pass

While I go into the detail on each of these in the full entry, here's a table showing how it all breaks out.

Column A is the hard effectuated APTC-receiving enrollees as of 3/31, directly from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid report last week.

With the King v. Burwell Supreme Court decision imminent (anytime between now and June 29th), the chess pieces have been set.

President Obama's Strategy:

Four words in the law could unravel Obamacare in the Supreme Court. So President Barack Obama is marshaling his own numbers – and an unusual moral weight — to stress the achievements of his health overhaul law on Tuesday.

In a speech to the Catholic Health Association, Obama will talk about the hundred years it’s taken to reform healthcare in the United States, and the millions it has helped over its five years of implementation. With a ruling due by the end of the month that could potentially send the new insurance marketplaces into a tailspin, Obama will warn, the social contract is at stake.

...On Tuesday, Obama will try to transcend the legal issues and political debate and instead focus on what the law has accomplished.

As I noted last month, Colorado's exchange reports are both crammed full of useful data and very confusing at the same time. Fortunately, with the help of Louise Norris, it should be a bit easier to figure out this time around (plus, during the off-season some of the numbers aren't as crucial anyway).

The total paid enrollment as of 5/31/15 is 73,438 + 54,811 = 128,249 people.

The number of these which were effectuated as of 5/31 appears to be 131,496 - 2,493 (SHOP) - 4,496 (Dental Only) = 124,507 people as of the end of May.

As I expected, this is a slight increase from 122,976 as of 3/31/15, which is actually more impressive since Colorado is one of the 3 states which didn't offer any sort of #ACATaxTime enrollment period after Open Enrollment ended.

Chutzpah (noun): A child who murders his parents, then begs forgiveness because he's an orphan.

"Six million people risk losing their health care subsidies, yet @POTUS continues to deny that Obamacare is bad for the American people."

— Senator John Thune (@SenJohnThune) June 8, 2015

Unbelievable. I've seen santorum with more integrity than this tweet. That is all.

UPDATE: Thune's tweet is a reminder of this bit of jaw-dropping hypocrisy from Florida Governor Rick Scott.

UPDATE x2: Hah! Looks like Paul Krugman was thinking along the same lines (I beat him to the punch, though...)

Until today, everyone has known that the idea of a Republican-controlled Congress taking 5 minutes out of their day to "fix" the wording "problem" in the ACA which they ginned up themselves was laughable...but to my knowledge, no sitting member of Congress (at least not one in a Senior leadership position, anyway) has come right and admitted this.

Remember this exchange from the King v. Burwell oral arguments back in April?

SCALIA: What about Congress? You really think Congress is just going to sit there while all of these disastrous consequences ensue? I mean, how often have we come out with a decision such as the ­­ you know, the bankruptcy court decision? Congress adjusts, enacts a statute that takes care of the problem. It happens all the time. Why is that not going to happen here?
 
VERRILLI: Well, this Congress? Your Honor, I...

(ROOM BREAKS INTO LAUGHTER)

NOTE: Shortly after Greg Sargent tweeted out a link to this story, I screwed something up and had to rewrite the entire piece. If you visited earlier and got a blank page, I apologize; it's 99% identical to what it was at the time.

Over at CNBC, Dan Mangan has a good write-up about 2 new polls out today regarding King v. Burwell...specifically, public support for the ACA's federal tax subsidies in the 34 states at risk:

Two new polls show strong public support for the high court maintaining financial aid that helps people in 34 states buy health coverage through the federal Obamacare marketplace.

The first survey, from Public Policy Polling, found that 61 percent of Americans believe that everyone in the U.S. at similar income levels should be able to get Obamacare subsidies regardless of where they live.

Support for that idea was strongest among Democrats, at 74 percent. But even a plurality of Republicans favored keeping subsidies for HealthCare.gov customers—49 percent in support, and 41 percent opposing the idea.

For months now, both ACA detractors and some supporters alike have kept asking the same question about King v. Burwell: What sort of "contingency plan" do President Obama, HHS Secretary Sylvia Burwell and the Democrats in Congress have in the event that the plaintiffs win the case?

I'm not sure why everyone keeps asking this, because back in February, Secretary Burwell wrote a letter directly responding to this question.

The House Republicans had sent an incredibly "CHOOTZ-PAH" filled letter to her demanding that she tell them what the HHS Dept's "contingency plan" would be in the event that the Supreme Court ends up doing their bidding by tearing away federal tax credits from 6.5 million people this summer.

Just over a year ago, just after the 2014 Open Enrollment period ended, Daily Kos founder & publisher Markos Moulitsas, along with his team, unexpectedly set up a fundraiser for me as a thank you for the work I put into the ACA Signups project for Year One (as well as to encourage me to keep it going for Year Two).

The folks over at dKos raised a substantial amount to help me out...for which I'm more grateful than they can ever know, becuase quite frankly, I had lost about half a year's income during the process and would have been in deep financial difficulty without their help (along with the generous folks here who had/have donated before and since then).

For the past year, I've been trying to figure out an appropriate way to return the favor. Today, Markos gave me the perfect opportunity to do so:

Over the years, I've consistently kept any personal favors to a minimum. I don't like to abuse the position you all have afforded me to make personal non-political requests. But I'm going to break from tradition for this special case.

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