Back in July, I warned that my original projections from earlier in the year of how much net ACA enrollee premiums will increase starting in January 2026 in all 50 states +DC if the enhanced premium tax credits are allowed to expire would have to be revised & updated due to two major changes which had taken place since then:
PENNSYLVANIA – August 26, 2025 – Pennie, Pennsylvania’s official health insurance marketplace, in coordination with Health Market Connect LLC (HMC), the newly appointed contractor of Pennie’s Assister Network, is taking a major step forward in connecting the uninsured with affordable health coverage. Pennie and HMC are launching a new network of regional organizations dedicated to providing localized support throughout the Commonwealth.
This innovative and community-centered model is designed to ensure that every Pennsylvanian, regardless of where they live, has access to trusted, in-person assistance when exploring their health coverage options. The appointed regional organizations will be responsible for hiring local Pennie-Certified Assisters who will serve as trusted guides throughout the enrollment process and conducting outreach to the uninsured.
NJ Department of Banking and Insurance Releases Initial Health Insurance Rates for the Individual Market for Plan Year 2026
Federal Inaction on Enhanced Premium Tax Credits Among Issues Impacting Consumer Costs
TRENTON — The New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance today announced that plan year 2026 health insurance initial rates have been submitted by insurance carriers operating in the individual market, which includes Get Covered New Jersey, the State’s Official Health Insurance Marketplace.
It was just a couple of weeks ago that the official (if preliminary) 2026 ACA individual market rate filings for Wyoming insurance carriers went live on the federal rate review website.
I published a writeup about these just 3 days ago; unlike some states, Wyoming was pretty easy to break out as they only have three carriers on the indy market, all of which also made their current enrollment data easy to find.
The landscape isn't pretty: BCBS is seeking average rate increases of 20.7%; UHC wants 29.1%, and Mountain Health Co-Op, which has around 9,600 enrollees, was asking for a whopping 32% average premium hike.
Keep in mind that Wyoming already has among the most expensive individual market policies in the country, with premiums averaging over $1,000/month.
Open Enrollment Period through Get Covered New Jersey Begins November 1, 2025
TRENTON — New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance Commissioner Justin Zimmerman today announced a total of $5 million in available grant funds for community organizations to apply to serve as state-certified Navigators for the Get Covered New Jersey Open Enrollment Period and throughout 2026. Navigators offer free, unbiased, community-based education and assistance to consumers seeking to enroll in health insurance through Get Covered New Jersey, the State’s Official Health Insurance Marketplace.
Last winter, I initiated an ambitious project in which I generated graphics to illustrate just how much net ACA premiums are likely to increase starting on January 1st, 2026 (slightly over 5 months from today) assuming the enhanced premium subsidies provided by the Inflation Reduction Act over the past several years are allowed to expire.
This project took several months to complete, as I had to generate both tables and bar graphs for all 50 states (+DC), using 4 different households at multiple income brackets for each. All told, that's over 1,600 different examples.
I made sure to include various caveats for these projections. For instance, each of these examples assumes...
