Connecticut: @AccessHealthCT reports 100,345 QHPs thru 11/27

Access Health CT, Connecticut's ACA exchange, is posting updates to their Open Enrollment Period (OEP) numbers every Friday. Last week they reported 100,094 Qualified Health Plan (QHP) selections during the first 20 days of the 2021 OEP, which sounds more impressive than it is, since 95,857 of those were current enrollees having their auto-renewals front-loaded; only 4,237 of them were actually new enrollees. Nothing wrong with that, of course.

This week, they report that they have 100,345 total QHP selections, of which 5,632 are new. On the surface this sounds off...shouldn't it be 101,489 total? I'm pretty sure the reason for the discrepancy is that not every current enrollee actually renews/re-enrolls for the following year. The exchange plugs them in as renewing, but they can still go in and actively cancel their renewal, which reduces the total a bit. In this case, it sounds like 1,144 current enrollees have done so over the past week. This gives a net increase of 251 over the past week, or 36 per day.