Colorado: 6,718 QHP selections through 11/08
OK, it turns out I have found an early enrollment update for a third state. Connect for Health Colorado held their monthly board meeting today, and along with a full report on October 2015 enrollments, they also posted a Business/Technology presentation for 2016 Open Enrollment, which includes this slightly cryptic bullet point:
- Enrollment Results 2016 = 6,718 (as of 11/8/15)
That seems pretty cut & dry. I've confirmed with the exchange that this number represents QHPs only; it doesn't include SHOP (small business) or standalone Dental plans.
Last year Colorado ended up with 140,327 QHP selections during open enrollment out of 11,688,074 total...or about 1.2% of the national total.
A straight extrapolation of 6,718 QHPs through Sunday would be around 560,000 QHP selections to date, which would be around 28% lower than the 780K through Sunday which I've estimated. Again, however, there's still way too little hard data to come to any conclusions yet.