Oregon: 113.2K exchange QHPs, 102.2K OFF-exchange

Since the 2015 Open Enrollment Period began, in addition to the weekly HC.gov "snapshot" reports which gave state-by-state breakouts of exchange-based private policy enrollments, the Oregon Insurance Division has also been tracking and reporting the number at their site...along with off-exchange (direct) QHP policies. As the only state reporting the off-exchange data on a regular basis, OR has become the only hard source I have for this number (other states like Washington, Florida and Louisiana report off-exchange data as well, but only on a quarterly or annual basis).

Their exchange-based data has always lagged slightly behind the HC.gov number, partly because the thru-dates don't match up and partly because at least one of the insurance companies in Oregon only reports paid enrollments instead of plans selected. Still, with the final week or two of HC.gov data missing at the moment, this is a handy estimate of how things played out in the final "overtime" enrollment week:

Members enrolled,
Nov. 15-Feb. 22
On Healthcare.gov 113,219
Outside of Healthcare.gov 102,232

Total 215,451​

About the data: Enrolled means a person has selected a plan. Consumers must pay the first month's premium for their coverage to become effective. These numbers do not identify whether the first month's premium has been paid. These numbers do not include Oregonians enrolled in the Oregon Health Plan (Medicaid).

These preliminary numbers are subject to change week to week based on people changing or canceling plans or having a change in status such as a new job or marriage.

By comparison, the totals the prior week were 110,228 exchange-based and 98,332 off-exchange, which means that during the final "overtime" week, OR increased their exchange enrollment by 2.7% and off-exchange by 4%. Across all of HC.gov the total only went up about 1.5% (8,838,291 + the 90K who had their policies cancelled due to legal residency issues), so Oregon had a stronger finish than many other states, for whatever that's worth.

Meanwhile, OFF-exchange enrollments continue to make up over 47% of the total (or, alternately, 90% as many as the exchange-based tally), lending more support to my estimate nationally (off-exchange enrollments totalling about 75-80% of the exchange total).