States by the Numbers
I've already noted that the State-Level CMS Projection Numbers are, for 40 out of the 50 states (plus DC), not particularly well-arrived at. However, for good or for bad, those are the numbers that the states are "supposed" to be striving for, so let's take a look at how they're doing.
With the official 12/28 HHS numbers in hand plus more recent updates for 13 states, here's where things stand purely on a "% of CMS projection attained" basis.
This is important to understand in cases like Kentucky, which has actually been operating quite successfully but which shows up as performing "poorly" due purely to the absurdly high "projection number" that it was assigned in the first place.
- Overachievers:
- Connecticut 121.21%
- Rhode Island 102.50%
- New York 98.00% (might be higher)
- Ahead of Schedule:
- New Hampshire 60.24%
- Maine 59.58%
- Colorado 57.37%
- North Carolina 56.43%
- Wisconsin 51.58%
- Idaho 49.81%
- Middle of the Pack:
- Michigan 46.90%
- Illinois 42.73%
- Montana 42.37%
- Washington 42.17%
- Delaware 40.91%
- Vermont 39.82%
- Pennsylvania 39.48%
- Minnesota 38.82%
- California 38.37%
- Dist. of Colum. 36.31%
- New Jersey 36.20%
- Nebraska 36.16%
- Virginia 35.18%
- Alabama 34.95%
- Florida 33.13%
- Utah 32.69%
- Lagging Behind:
- Tennessee 29.47%
- Georgia 28.73%
- Missouri 28.08%
- Kansas 26.87%
- Wyoming 26.54%
- South Carolina 26.21%
- Arizona 25.17%
- Arkansas 25.03%
- Hawaii 24.36%
- Indiana 24.35%
- North Dakota 23.85%
- Ohio 21.03%
- West Virginia 20.37%
- Bringing up the Rear:
- Nevada 19.62%
- Texas 18.84%
- South Dakota 18.68%
- Louisiana 18.67%
- Iowa 18.23%
- Oklahoma 17.86%
- Alaska 16.78%
- Kentucky 15.13%
- Mississippi 13.87%
- Maryland 13.57%
- Massachusetts 10.67%
- Stuck in Single Digits:
- New Mexico 9.26%
- Oregon 8.44%