States by the Numbers

I've already noted that the State-Level CMS Projection Numbers are, for 40 out of the 50 states (plus DC), not particularly well-arrived at. However, for good or for bad, those are the numbers that the states are "supposed" to be striving for, so let's take a look at how they're doing.

With the official 12/28 HHS numbers in hand plus more recent updates for 13 states, here's where things stand purely on a "% of CMS projection attained" basis.

This is important to understand in cases like Kentucky, which has actually been operating quite successfully but which shows up as performing "poorly" due purely to the absurdly high "projection number" that it was assigned in the first place.

  • Overachievers:
    • Connecticut    121.21%
    • Rhode Island    102.50%
    • New York    98.00% (might be higher)
  • Ahead of Schedule:
    • New Hampshire    60.24%
    • Maine    59.58%
    • Colorado    57.37%
    • North Carolina    56.43%
    • Wisconsin    51.58%
    • Idaho    49.81%
  • Middle of the Pack:
    • Michigan    46.90%
    • Illinois    42.73%
    • Montana    42.37%
    • Washington    42.17%
    • Delaware    40.91%
    • Vermont    39.82%
    • Pennsylvania    39.48%
    • Minnesota    38.82%
    • California    38.37%
    • Dist. of Colum.    36.31%
    • New Jersey    36.20%
    • Nebraska    36.16%
    • Virginia    35.18%
    • Alabama    34.95%
    • Florida    33.13%
    • Utah    32.69%
  • Lagging Behind:
    • Tennessee    29.47%
    • Georgia    28.73%
    • Missouri    28.08%
    • Kansas    26.87%
    • Wyoming    26.54%
    • South Carolina    26.21%
    • Arizona    25.17%
    • Arkansas    25.03%
    • Hawaii    24.36%
    • Indiana    24.35%
    • North Dakota    23.85%
    • Ohio    21.03%
    • West Virginia    20.37%
  • Bringing up the Rear:
    • Nevada    19.62%
    • Texas    18.84%
    • South Dakota    18.68%
    • Louisiana    18.67%
    • Iowa    18.23%
    • Oklahoma    17.86%
    • Alaska    16.78%
    • Kentucky    15.13%
    • Mississippi    13.87%
    • Maryland    13.57%
    • Massachusetts    10.67%
  • Stuck in Single Digits:
    • New Mexico    9.26%
    • Oregon    8.44%